Tomorrow is Primary Day in New York, and the fate of many political careers for State and Federal elected officials will be decided.
The big ones are the Democratic Congressional Primaries between Congressman Dan Goldman and former NYC Comptroller Brad Lander, and multiple candidates (including Jack Schlossberg, the grandson of the late President Kennedy) who are running to replace retiring Congressman Jerry Nadler.
In heavily Democratic NYC these primaries are usually more important than general elections. And for decades incumbents almost always won -- there have been a few exceptions, including AOC's big 2018 victory, but VERY few -- which meant that winning a primary was almost like a Papal election (if you won a primary or survived a primary challenger, you could serve for decades). For example, I remember 20 years ago there was a nasty primary in Brooklyn to replace the retirning Congressman Major Owens; then-City Councilwoman Yvette Clark won and she's been in office ever since.
There 'ya go.
But in the last few years incumbents have been less-and-less bullet-proof in primaries: Queens/Bronx Congressman Joe Crowley lost to AOC in 2018, then Bronx Congressman Eliot Engel lost to Jamaal Bowman in 2020 and then Bowman lost in 2024 to now-Congressman George Latimer. Lots of state elected have also lost their seats in primaries in recent years. And it's expected than Goldman will proabably lose to Lander and that Congressman Espaillat might lose to a strong challanger. This article talks about the shifting sands of primary politics in NYC -- even if you get elected to Congress, your own party might throw you out in a few short years.
To quote former British Prime Minister John Major, "Politics is a rough old trade."