I just stumbled upon this blog post from April, 2011 and, um, uhhhh, yeah ... it doesn't exactly hold up.
But you should still read it if only because it is a genuine historical curiosity.
It's just a reminder that history is made in a fog, the fog of the present, the so-called "fog of war", and that nothing is predictable, nothing is pre-ordained, and that history with hindsight is truly 20/20.
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